View Full Version : What will be the next piece of electronics to become obsolete?


Sinfulfate
01-08-2008, 07:03 PM
I think it will be desktop pcs.

Bacontastic
01-08-2008, 07:19 PM
Hard drives, apparently. (http://www.wired.com/techbiz/people/magazine/16-01/st_qa)

Frawlz
01-08-2008, 07:36 PM
DVDs will be the next to go.

Everything will go to digital downloads. That is why I won't buy Blueray or HDDVD. Neither will win.

I'll have my whole movie collection on my media center someday.

Shane86
01-08-2008, 07:46 PM
compact discs, duh.

V3NOM
01-08-2008, 07:47 PM
I agree with Frawlz -- as someone that doesn't watch movies often enough to really justify even buying a DVD player, digital downloads will get rid of the extra requirement. Of course there are people that buy a ton of movies just to do it, and they will delay the end of the DVD, but they won't be able to stop it. There are a lot of such people, but there are a lot of people that aren't like that, too.

EDIT: Bacontastic, I've read a lot about the data cloud idea and frankly I think the idea is terrible. If most apps were run from a central network then people are even more dependent (computer-wise) on that network working 100% of the time. I would much rather have a hard drive or at least some sort of local storage for most, if not all of my stuff. That way when everything doesn't work as it should I can still do stuff.

An example of what I mean: what if you had to be connected to Xbox Live to even play your Xbox at all? When XBL was having problems as it did this holiday season many consoles would be rendered useless until the service is back up. That's dumb. At least when the internet isn't working I can still play games offline. I have it stored locally, and it would be the same even if my games were stored on my hard drive and not on discs (though for digital distribution to be used for games the sonsoles would need much bigger hard drives in general than they have now).

kingofnoland
01-08-2008, 07:49 PM
I think it'll be just t.v's as we know them in general.
everybody will use just a screen plus progrmmes downloaded off of the internet to your pc/console. there will be no more tv channels at all. just what you've picked. it's already started to happen.

Frawlz
01-08-2008, 08:17 PM
I don't think downloading will be the next gen. streaming over the internet will be.

If I own 100 HD movies, I won't be able to store them on my 20 gig 360. Even if I store them on my hard drive on my computer.

You will be able to own virtual movies. Have your selection viewable any where in the world, and be able to stream it in your house, phone, or laptop. Where ever you have a fast internet connection.

This should be a good time in media. I can't wait.

Spudnik
01-08-2008, 08:35 PM
Well Frawlz if all that you talk about comes true I will be one happy happy person.

Canuck
01-08-2008, 10:44 PM
I agree, I think that digital distribution is the way of the future for all media: music, pictures, movies, videogames and more (books? that's a kinda scary thought, reading books on your computer/TV), while TV is already pretty much there, except maybe making TV shows more widely available for download. Maybe come next-next-gen for gaming consoles, games will be purchased via digital download only. And they'll be available to be downloaded/streamed and viewed nearly anywhere: at home on the TV or PC, on your laptop on the go (I also think that satellite/massive WiFi internet global coverage is the way of the future, so the internet is readily available anywhere, any time), on your phone, on your iPod, hell, even on a plane via mini-TVs. Just open up your account, and every movie, song, picture, TV show, and possibly some games that you've ever purchased/uploaded will be readily accessible. Want to watch a movie on the bus? Just connect via phone or iPod (which will probably be commonly morphed into one device, like an iPhone) and watch away. Of course, that future is at least a dozen years away, but when it comes, life will be sweet. Unless global warming kills us all first.

Tinman
01-08-2008, 11:08 PM
electric staplers. That was a stupid idea.

Pablos102030
01-08-2008, 11:25 PM
iPod.

NecrisJ1MM
01-09-2008, 12:58 AM
I think PC Desktops are going to go through a radical change in the near future, though not going completely obsolete, they will change as we know them, maybe it's got something to do with this "Surface" from MS.

the 6th degree
01-09-2008, 02:01 AM
I'm with Frawlz - I think Hard Drives - as internet speeds get faster and HD files becoming larger, it's gonna become unfeasable to save everything downloaded and what would be the point when you can stream everything?

Drem
01-09-2008, 11:40 AM
I'm with Frawlz - I think Hard Drives - as internet speeds get faster and HD files becoming larger, it's gonna become unfeasable to save everything downloaded and what would be the point when you can stream everything?


all those HD files will have to be stored somewhere, maybe not your hard drive but some one, some where will have to have that information on a server/ hard drive. Hard drives will get bigger as files do. 1TB will feel like 1GB in the future.

PacManPolarBear
01-09-2008, 12:03 PM
In my home we don't have a TV. Well we do, a tiny little one sitting in a closet somewhere but whatever. My lil bro and I have two PC's and thats all we need. We have no home phone, just cells. We don't have cable TV, stand alone DVD player or anything like that, all our media requirements are met via the internet and have been since 2000.

I've also almost totally stopped buying hard copy games because of direct downloads.

Garwalker
01-09-2008, 12:55 PM
DVD player's will be next, then HD-DVD player's, then Blu-Ray player's. Storage medium is progressing quickly.

Feanor
01-09-2008, 01:38 PM
USB 2.0

Supposedly, USB 3 will put HDMI to shame.

Drem
01-09-2008, 03:16 PM
USB 2.0

Supposedly, USB 3 will put HDMI to shame.

Sweet!

GideonB
01-09-2008, 03:18 PM
i am thinking CRT monitors and they will be replaced by LCD, plasma and Sony's new 3 inch thick OLED TV which looks cool but costs apparently $1000

iPlayPC
01-09-2008, 06:13 PM
I think PC Desktops are going to go through a radical change in the near future, though not going completely obsolete, they will change as we know them, maybe it's got something to do with this "Surface" from MS.

PC desktops may, and probably will, die in a gaming aspect. But they will always be around in some form, shape, or color. Can you type up a paper on your 360 as easily as you can type it on a pc? I didn't think so!

zbiggie
01-09-2008, 08:49 PM
without a doubt it will be cameras, for personal not professional. They are being more and more intergrated into cellphones that one day your just not going to see them in stores. I see this happening once cellphones actually start supporting cameras with actual zoom, flash, and at or more then 5 megapixles.

The next this to go after cameras is personal music players (ipod and whatnot) seriously phones already do this well enough, Hell I know im getting myself a Sony Ericson just for that reason, (it also has a decent camera) and with 8 G of mem, I will never get to tired to listen to it.

zbiggie
01-09-2008, 08:51 PM
all those HD files will have to be stored somewhere, maybe not your hard drive but some one, some where will have to have that information on a server/ hard drive. Hard drives will get bigger as files do. 1TB will feel like 1GB in the future.

Thats not going to happen, forgot what it is going to be called but from what i understand its basically a cube that can store into the hundreds of terabytes, but its not going to be made for personal use until 2010 from what i know still, thats only two years

Canuck
01-09-2008, 09:09 PM
without a doubt it will be cameras, for personal not professional. They are being more and more intergrated into cellphones that one day your just not going to see them in stores. I see this happening once cellphones actually start supporting cameras with actual zoom, flash, and at or more then 5 megapixles.

The next this to go after cameras is personal music players (ipod and whatnot) seriously phones already do this well enough, Hell I know im getting myself a Sony Ericson just for that reason, (it also has a decent camera) and with 8 G of mem, I will never get to tired to listen to it.

What the hell are you talking about? I see cameras in stores all the time - cameras are definitely not going obsolete. Same thing with iPods. Sure, in 20 years we may have some super-phone that everyone buys Just 'Cause, but there will most likely always be a market for stand-alone music players and cameras.

In short, I completely 100% disagree with your theory.

Bauer22
01-09-2008, 09:21 PM
What the hell are you talking about? I see cameras in stores all the time - cameras are definitely not going obsolete. Same thing with iPods. Sure, in 20 years we may have some super-phone that everyone buys Just 'Cause, but there will most likely always be a market for stand-alone music players and cameras.

In short, I completely 100% disagree with your theory.



Yeah I'm gonna go with my friend from the north with this one too. Chances are there's not gonna be that one gadget that does everything 100% as well as a stand alone. So far the top megapixle camera phone on the market is 5 MP and the typical camera is 6/7 MP and were not even gonna go into different features.



I think maybe in 20-30 years we may see paper and printers going close to obsolete. I mean with e-books, games being downloaded without boxes/printed manuals, and laptops and hand helds becoming cheaper there will be little need. Now a course we'll need boxes for the tech but consumer wise it will be gone.

PopTrogdor
01-09-2008, 09:26 PM
desktop pcs will not be the next to go... that was a bit of a silly suggestion tbh
in terms of gaming, i think the wii will die first, as mentioned on here recently, after ssbb, and mario kart...whats next for the hardcore? and soccer mums and their kids always find something new to want every year, next year it will be inflatable curtains and a glass that says "i play with wii"

in terms of technology overall, hmm, you cant say dvd's, because theres still a huge demographic who just dont want or care about hd, and i would say compact disks, but mainly for music, as, well noone really buys music, or at least noone i know irl, but ofcourse they are still a useful storage device, but they will end up like the floppy disk in terms of their usage for computers definitely, if they havent already (im talking about normal cd rw or recordables)

Mav
01-09-2008, 09:36 PM
I think it will be desktop pcs.

That's a long shot.. highly unlikely.

It will probably be compact discs.

zbiggie
01-09-2008, 11:04 PM
Yeah I'm gonna go with my friend from the north with this one too. Chances are there's not gonna be that one gadget that does everything 100% as well as a stand alone. So far the top megapixle camera phone on the market is 5 MP and the typical camera is 6/7 MP and were not even gonna go into different features.

Well you just said it your self the best personal cameras out there are 6-7 MP (the better ones reaching 10 or so) but look samsung has a phone, f700, which is going to come out with a 5 MP camera, hell thats only 2 MP less then an average camera, and people at pro photo shops tell me that at best for home cameras all you will ever need is a 7MP, So that will easily be available in the next year or two, And features basically means that it will make your picture brighter or no red eye, thats has nothing to do with the camera but with how the software changes the photo, so that i'm a little suprised is not in camera phones already (true they don't have an actual falsh already, but a few are about to come out soon.)

zbiggie
01-09-2008, 11:13 PM
What the hell are you talking about? I see cameras in stores all the time - cameras are definitely not going obsolete. Same thing with iPods. Sure, in 20 years we may have some super-phone that everyone buys Just 'Cause, but there will most likely always be a market for stand-alone music players and cameras.

In short, I completely 100% disagree with your theory.

Like i said i believe those two are the next major ones to disappear from shelves, and if you seriously believe it will take 20 years for that to happen, then i'm sorry, but today we already have phones that have cameras and music players to be built into them, hell if they don't have it they are considered last gen crap. True that they might not be the best but if you give them a couple of years they will be great, Just look at the Sony Ericson w960, that thing has really good picture quality on its 3.15 MP camera and built in walkman, and wireless, touchscreen, 8G hard drive. The only thing that sucks on it is that it doesn't have an actual flash (it has led flash) and the camera quality could be better.

Pablos102030
01-10-2008, 12:06 AM
Sure, in 20 years we may have some super-phone that everyone buys

Umm, iPhone?

zbiggie
01-10-2008, 02:20 AM
Umm, iPhone?

exactly what i thought,

ChorleyDominic
01-10-2008, 04:04 AM
iPhone won't be a true competition killer for a few generations yet - but I can see it happening - all other phones will be old bricks in comparision!

Jordan the hobo
01-10-2008, 07:57 AM
Cd's r dying but i guess you could say they are already obsolete. hmmmm . . . maby this gen consoles will probably die out the fastest cause as soon as the next xbox or wii comes out the old one is obsolete.

or your mother

Drem
01-10-2008, 08:19 AM
Thats not going to happen, forgot what it is going to be called but from what i understand its basically a cube that can store into the hundreds of terabytes, but its not going to be made for personal use until 2010 from what i know still, thats only two years

What is not going to happen? You said pretty much what I said...:confused:

Canuck
01-10-2008, 10:07 AM
Umm, iPhone?

Yeah, but the iPhone is really only an early stage of "uber-phone". Give it a few more generations and some competition and yes, you're right. 20 years was an exaggeration, but what I was trying to say is that even if an uber-phone were to grow wildly popular, there would still be a large number of people who just want the music, or just want the camera, and so on. Meaning that unless cell phones become all-powerful, HD-playing behemoths, I doubt that the demographic for iPods and cameras will disappear for a long time.

Canuck
01-10-2008, 10:12 AM
Well you just said it your self the best personal cameras out there are 6-7 MP (the better ones reaching 10 or so) but look samsung has a phone, f700, which is going to come out with a 5 MP camera, hell thats only 2 MP less then an average camera, and people at pro photo shops tell me that at best for home cameras all you will ever need is a 7MP, So that will easily be available in the next year or two, And features basically means that it will make your picture brighter or no red eye, thats has nothing to do with the camera but with how the software changes the photo, so that i'm a little suprised is not in camera phones already (true they don't have an actual falsh already, but a few are about to come out soon.)

I can get a 10MP camera for $150 easily. A 5MP phone costs far more then that, unless it's with a contract. I doubt camera phones will ever fully replace cameras, as there will always be a demographic for people who don't want the phone or who are on a budget, and so while the market may weaken for stand-alone cameras, I think it would take at least 20 years for the market to truly die down.

Ploogle
01-10-2008, 11:40 AM
I think that DVDs, actually, when the HD format war is won and the HD players become cheaper. It was the same thing with VHS, and now you have to really try to find them at thrift stores.

zbiggie
01-10-2008, 04:16 PM
What is not going to happen? You said pretty much what I said...:confused:

Yea it may be a different version, but it is still a hard drive, Unless you mean Hard Disk Drives are going to be obsolete, then yes I do agree they are going to eventually go away (but no way in hell are we going to ever have everything streaming)

I can get a 10MP camera for $150 easily. A 5MP phone costs far more then that, unless it's with a contract. I doubt camera phones will ever fully replace cameras, as there will always be a demographic for people who don't want the phone or who are on a budget, and so while the market may weaken for stand-alone cameras, I think it would take at least 20 years for the market to truly die down.

If you are getting a 10MP camera for 150$ then either you are getting a really shitty quality camera or its on sale, I know because I got a 7.2MP for a 100$ and after about a week the thing broke, plus the picture were not good. Remember when you buy a camera you are actually wanting to buy something with great battery life, and more importantly a good quality lens, Because if I get a 5MP qood quality camera and compare it to a 10MP shit quality camera, then the main difference will be i will have a super high quality but slightly smaller pic, while you will have a super large shitty looking pic.

When you said that some people won't want everything in one, that made no sense to me. Remember pagers, those are basically gone, they were replaced by cellphones that have text messaging and blackberries. And now we are seeing phones take a next chunk off the market which I believe will be cameras and mp3 players.

And if your worried about paying more for the phone, like you said people will buy them on contract for 2 or 3 years which usually cuts the price down big time, now instead of spending 250$ for a phone, and camera, and a ipod, i'm sure people will be more willing to spend 400$ once and get a good phone that has all 3 things, Remember, EVERYONE is willing to take a deal when they see one. Hell I bet in 5 years you will even have this type of phone, and the only reason you would have a camera or ipod is because you bought it before buying your phone

Bauer22
01-15-2008, 07:56 PM
Well Apple just released the MacBook Air today with no optical drive so they must not think CD's are not that important.

Pablos102030
01-16-2008, 12:16 AM
That was a dumb move. Or was it? Now instead of being able to burn cds directly, I can REMOTELY burn them using a pc! OMGBBQ! TWO computers doing the job of one! BOOM!

Hobo Hunter1001
01-16-2008, 05:06 AM
Dildoes if I have anything to say about it.

panther 86
01-16-2008, 02:41 PM
cd players

Bauer22
01-16-2008, 03:54 PM
That was a dumb move. Or was it? Now instead of being able to burn cds directly, I can REMOTELY burn them using a pc! OMGBBQ! TWO computers doing the job of one! BOOM!

I dont really care since I get my music from Limewir... I mean iTunes Music Store. Cd's will slowing be fading away sooner then we think.

LEGEND
01-16-2008, 04:02 PM
Analog radios.

Tinman
01-16-2008, 04:02 PM
I'm telling you, electric staplers!

LEGEND
01-16-2008, 04:04 PM
Dildoes if I have anything to say about it.

Lol what? Why the hate towards the dildo's?

Nozama
01-16-2008, 11:48 PM
Watches, seeing how most handhelds have a clock of some form or another.

Pablos102030
01-17-2008, 01:30 AM
Watches, seeing how most handhelds have a clock of some form or another.

I think this is the most plausible out of all of them. Who was the last person you saw wearing a watch that they actually used?

Zvolen
01-17-2008, 01:09 PM
I guess its not really electronic but I think print media will be the next major thing to be obsolete. Soon everything will be digital our lives already revolve around it so much now.

As for an actual device I might agree with some others and say CD players

Pablos102030
01-17-2008, 06:40 PM
I thought cd players on their own were already obsolete, everybody has an mp3 player nowadays